安部内閣への3つの危惧
日本のの有権者は16日の衆院選で全議席の3分の2を自公両党に与えました。政権交代への過大な期待が裏切られたことに対する有権者の失望ないし怒りがそのような結果をもたらしたのでしょう。しかし、極端な結果によって登場する安倍晋三内閣の行動については3つの危惧があります。危惧が現実にならなければいいのですが。
第1は、憲法改正や集団自衛権の容認によって自衛隊を国防軍に組織替えし、60年以上続いた「平和国家」を「普通の国」に変質させようとしていることです。この問題に関してはいろいろの考え方がありますが、「平和国家」は若い世代にとっても貴重です。慎重に扱わなくてはいけません。
第2は、目先だけを考えた景気対策は非常に危険であるということです。公共投資中心の景気対策は90年代、自公政権が繰り返し、失敗しました。日銀による金融緩和は、石破・自民党幹事長も認めるように、緩和しても肝心の産業にはほとんどカネが回らないのが実態です。政府が企業を元気づける強力な成長戦略を展開しない限り、デフレ脱却は不可能です。絶対に避けなけねばならないのはバブルの再来です。万一、そうなったら、日本経済は再起不能に陥ります。
第3は、中国と韓国に対する強硬外交です。とりわけ中国については、経済界が友好関係の早期復活を求めているので、安倍内閣が発足しても強硬路線に簡単に転じることはできないでしょう。しかし、安倍氏の周囲には強硬論者が多数おり、安倍氏自身が「尖閣諸島への国家公務員の常駐」を口にしたこともあります。両国に対して強硬外交を展開したら、日本のアジア外交が成功する可能性は極めて低くなるでしょう。尖閣と竹島の領土問題は先送りするほかありません。
安倍氏と自民党幹部が衆院選圧勝におごることなく、重要問題については慎重に対処して国論分裂を避け、できるだけ長期の政権維持を図ることを期待します。
（早房長治、12月18日記す）
以下の文章は早房の投稿に対するコメントではなく、早房の追加の文章です。
総選挙と安部新内閣に関する早房の詳しい意見は、次のＵＲＬをクリックして、お読みください。
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